North Korea is the New (K)uba?

North Korea is the New (K)uba?

By: Erreh Svaia

Caprine Dispersion

"I tried to explain to Fidel my actions, but he became very nervous and began to insult us, if I can express myself like that. He believed that the USSR had betrayed Cuba. " "The Chinese called me a coward because they wanted a war between the USSR and the US."

Nikita Khrushchev

After finally completing a successful intercontinental missile launching a couple of days ago (after too many failed attempts, some of them even believed to be sabotaged by the USA cybernetically) Kim Jong Un's North Korea has finally become a real threat to global security (“A present for the USA in their Independence Day”, declared Jung Un), "China's rabid dog" has finally became even a big threat to itself and to its protector (and to Asian already turmoiled region), to the point where a blossoming cold war started by trade disagreements between China and the USA are giving us a clear sign that NK is turning into a new Cuba that could lead to a new missile crisis, like the one that happened in the 50s and put us all on the border of a nuclear confrontation, let the countdown watch move ahead a couple of seconds more, apparently midnight again is getting closer for humanity.

But let's not be so negative now, let's consider that China still has control over the little "hermit kingdom", just like the now defunct USSR had over Cuba (at the moment China is conditioning oil supply to NK, while the USA is sanctioning Beijing banks supporting NK ), although in the 50s, it was abrasive dictator Fidel Castro the one who asked madly for the USSR to unleash a “preventive” nuclear strike against the USA; This time is a little bit different, NK doesn't need to ask Beijing to unleash an attack, NK is almost capable of it by itself, faster than many might have thought, a couple of months we talked about it, this might be Trump´s administration truly decisive moment and considering the fact that the USA has been attacked successfully in its own soil before, the chances that a major confrontation might be possible but can be prevented, diplomatic solution might be the most desired way to unlock the conflict, problem might be that USA president is not exactly best suited for diplomatic resolutions, having already got into trouble with China and NK, Trump also might be a little nearsighted here, as a possible successful solution to the conflict could also help mend his deteriorated popularity.

Once again trying to be positive, could the Washington or Beijing be able to contain a hostile action by Pyongyang? Well the USA is already moving some vessels towards the China Sea and already running anti-missile tests along Japan and South Korea, Philippines role is still undecided yet, but coordinated actions are becoming irritating for Beijing, who already were angered by the erratic actions the USA have been taking towards trade, some of them convenient for Beijing and some others don't, but China still seems confident that they can out play Donald Trump, they value discipline and strategy above the unstable nature of the USA government and they can play a few more cards like Russia, whose president Vladimir Putin seems to have some kind of influence over Trump, as both will meet on Friday on the G-20 reunion, which could tell us a lot about the global future, a more collaborative role by Trump or a more confrontational one, both of them will have USA losing ground to both China and Russia, and all of the trouble started by one tiny country in the east, again reminding me of Cuba's missile crisis, here is Donald Trump´s government first true test, are they up for it?